OIL & OIL SERVICE: SEISMIC MARKET REPORT – SHARES ARE LOOKING ATTRACTIVE
Last week, we attended the annual seismic conference IMAGE in Houston. The overall atmosphere was very positive. It seems that all segments in the seismic market continue to improve, although not as strongly as we had expected in the beginning of the year – but this should already be reflected in both estimates and share prices. Seismic shares have been relatively weak YTD, which is explained by softer-than-expected late-sales in H1’23. Now, however, estimates have come down significantly for H2 and the risk/reward ahead of the upcoming Q3 reporting season seems attractive. We have BUY ratings on both TGS and PGS. Reach out for full report, 54 pages.
TGS: UNDERPERFORMANCE IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY
Largest and best MC library and big inventory of data ready to sell. H2 estimates are now looking sensible following disappointing H1. We expect late-sales to rebound in 24e due to high MC investments in ’23. Trading at P/E 8x and 4% dividend yield. EV/BV of MC library support share price in range of NOK 150-260. Reiterate BUY and TP NOK 190.
PGS: BELIEVE IT OR NOT, PGS IS BECOMING A CASH MASCHINE
Contract prices and vessel utilisation are both sharply up. We expect FCF of USD 300m next four quarters. As such, we expect 2023 debt maturities to be highly manageable. We actually expect dividends to start 1 year from now. Share is trading at P/E 5x for ‘23e. NAV support a share price between NOK 13-16. Reiterate BUY and TP NOK 12.