Diskusjon Triggere Porteføljer Aksjonærlister

Questerre Energy Corporation (QEC)

Fra samme analyse:

Significant positive estimates changes: We make significant changes to our estimates after the deal announcement. We assume deal closing by end 2025, increase 2026-27 revenue by 160-180%. Our EPS estimates are however up less due to assumptions are refinancing of a bond that currently sits in the PX Energy structure. Our SOTP valuation now stand at NOK 4.6/share, which is up around 20%. In a scenario where we assign more value to the upsides of PX Energy, we easily see a NAV of NOK 10/share

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Questerre Energy Release Q2 2025 Results

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Questerre reports second quarter 2025 results

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Fra Sparebank1 Markets

Questerre (Buy, tp NOK 4) – PX deal overshadows strong q/q growth

Q2 financials as expected, strong q/q growth: Questerre reported Q2 25 EBITDA and recurring net income of CAD 4.7m and CAD -0.7, in line with our estimates of CAD 5.0m and CAD -0.6m. EBTIDA was up from CAD 3.1m in Q1 25 thanks to strong production growth from new Kakwa wells. Q2 production of 3,090 boe/d as up from 1,729 boe/d in Q1 25. While production was 1% lower than our estimate, realised prices were lower than we had modelled. That was however offset by lower production costs and lower depreciation than we had assumed. Net cash of CAD 18.3m was marginally above our CAD 17.5m estimate, mainly owing to some working capital release. Net cash was down from CAD 27m by end Q1 25 due to significant investments in the Kakwa area. Overall, we view Q2 earnings as a neutral data point compared our expectations.

Positive comments around Quebec gas: In the Q2 report, Questerre highlighted that the company is working towards a solution on its gas discovery in Quebec: “Interest is growing in our natural gas discovery as a secure and reliable supply in Quebec, particularly among industrial gas users. It is also being considered as the supply for the 550 MW Becancour thermal power plant as it may be converted to produce power for peak demand periods.”

Transformative deal strengthens upside potential: Although the Q2 q/q production and earnings growth reported for Q2 both are positive, we believe the most interesting aspect around the Questerre investment case now is the recently announced acquisition of PX Energy. After that that announcement, we upgraded Questerre to Buy and raise our target price to NOK 4 (from NOK 2), following what we view as a transformative acquisition of PX Energy (~140% of pre-deal EV), an oil shale specialist with producing assets in Brazil. The most immediate benefit of the deal is Questerre’s access to proven oil shale expertise and a producing asset acquired at an attractive valuation from a financially distressed seller. In addition, the transaction has the potential to drive strong earnings and cash flow multiples, though it is still too early to quantify these impacts with precision. Overall, we believe Questerre’s shares should trade at a smaller discount to our NAV than before. Our new target price implies a P/NAV multiple of approximately 0.9x, assumes that the deal will close and incorporates the anticipated value from the future spin-off of the Quebec assets.

Quebec spin off on the agenda: Following a potential closing of the acquisition of PX Energy, Questerre is planning to spin off its Quebec assets into a separate vehicle and distribute exposure to this vehicle to existing shareholders. This will make sure that existing shareholder keep the current Quebec exposure on an undiluted basis and that new shareholder (the sellers of PX Energy) not will be exposed to Quebec upside. We guess this vehicle may be listed as a separate entity on Oslo Stock Exchange, or other feasible marketplaces.

Denne er megaspennende: " Quebec

Positioning our discovery as a cost-effective and near-term solution for the province’s energy needs is slowly gaining traction. At a meeting of industrial gas users in May, there was interest in using local gas to mitigate the reliance on imports and reduce transportation costs. We believe it is for these same reasons that the operator of the Becancour power plant is considering us as a supplier of natural gas. Our test wells are less than 10 kilometres away from their facility and could be brought on production in under one year. "

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Nedgangen vi har sett siste dager er nok kun basert på TA. En fin HS-formasjon som nå er fullført:

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Questerre updates PX Energy transaction

OLJE- OG OFFSHORE: SB1M er ute med ny sektorrapport med følgende anbefalinger:

Oljeselskap: Aker BP oppgraderes fra hold til kjøp med uendret kursmål NOK 290. Bluenord kjøp og uendret kursmål NOK 610. BW Energy Limited hold og uendret kursmål NOK 38. DNO hold og uendret kursmål NOK 15. Equinor hold og uendret kursmål NOK 270. Okea kjøp og uendret kursmål NOK 22. Panoro Energy kjøp og uendret kursmål NOK 33. Petronor oppgraderes fra hold til kjøp og kursmålet økes til NOK 13 (11). Questerre Energy Corporation kjøp og uendret kursmål NOK 4

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September 2025 Corporate Presentation

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