En veldig god artikkel, som basically skriver deg jeg har tenkt hele veien, og som forsåvidt Ukraina har sagt hele veien. De kan ikke godta noen våpenhvile med russiske tropper på Ukrainsk jord som de kontrollerte før 24. feb. Halvparten av problemene til Russland er jo nå at de ikke får inn forsyninger og at de russiske troppene er utslitte. Det er ikke tidspunktet å gi dem litt lenge etterlengtet hvile og muligheter til å få fram forsyninger (om ikke mer, så i hvert fall til grensen).
There is no room for an independent Ukraine in Putin’s “Russian World.”
Russia regularly violated ceasefires in Syria and framed its troop rotations as “withdrawals” to buy time for its military operations
Russia would use a ceasefire to try to break the momentum of Ukraine’s Armed Forces.
The Kremlin would use a ceasefire to put Ukraine’s forces on the defensive in the information space by blaming Ukraine for any ceasefire violations.
Oppsummert:
The West should resist Russian ceasefire offers that give Putin leverage on Ukraine and instead provide Ukraine with everything it needs to win as long as the Ukrainians are willing to fight. Ukraine has a chance to defeat Russia’s objectives in the second phase of this war. The West’s highest priority should be providing all the lethal aid that Ukraine needs to do so.
Specifically, the West should prioritize helping Ukraine defend its cities from Russia’s air and artillery strikes, deny Russia the ability to resupply, and increase the mobility of the Ukrainian armed forces. The priority capabilities include long and mid-range ground-based air defense systems, combat aircraft, counter-battery radars, tanks, armored vehicles, demining vehicles—in addition to an increased supply of Javelins, Stingers, and combat drones.
Faster Western assistance is critical to helping Ukrainian forces maintain their momentum and reducing the number of lives it takes to preserve Ukraine’s sovereignty.