Hvilke taktiske grep skal de ta?
De kan massemobilisere og kjøre human waves. Men de har ikke utstyrslagre lengre til å bemanne opp en stor arme.
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Folkelig støtte er veldig viktig for krigshandlinger i dag også. Det er derfor grenser for hvor lenge Zelensky kan se på at Belarus huser russiske installasjoner for presisjonsstyring av raketter og missiler innover de nordlige delene av Ukraina. Dette området opplever jevnlig bombardement av sivile mål med skadde og drepte i den sivile befolkningen.
Nå har han gitt Lukashenko en uke til å fjerne de russiske installasjonene, ellers så fjerner Ukaina dem selv. Jeg vil tro at Lukashenko tar det på alvor. Ukraina er ikke tannløse.
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UKR fortsetter kampanjen rettet mot russisk logistikk bak frontlinjen.
Her 56 sekunder fra de siste dager med fokus på tankbiler:
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UKR droner over Tula oblast (ca 180 km sør for Moskva):
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Viva Italia - Meloni
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Betalartikel. Hva står det?
Rent allmænt så er jo Giorgia Meloni oerhørt mye mer truverdig enn Donald T-rump (det er nesten alle).
Russiske sentralbanken tar i så de nesten sprikker: Renten sens med, holde i er nå; 0,25% enheter.
En otrolig forskjell som virklig kommer att få fart på…, ja hva då? Mer konkurser kanskje?
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Utenriksministeren (?) til Italia skulle til USA og møte Marco Rubio, men det er nå avlyst. Meloni sier i en video at Trump behandler sine allierte med mindre respekt enn han gjør med sine motstandere. Hun sier også at hun ikke har bedt Trump om en dritt.
Og ja, Meloni har vesentlig mer troverdighet enn Trump.
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Trump har ikke noen allierte lengre. USA hadde. Men ikke nå. Fast man sier det ikke rent ut, i hvert fall ikke så ofte. Friedrich Merz har ju dokk varit ganske tydlig på den her punkten, også offentligt.
Men hun har rett i sak, Trump behandler sine føre dette allierte dårligere enn sine uttalte motståndare.
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Hva står det?
Svaret er en liten såpeopera:
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According to Nabiullina, the Central Bank of Russia’s June survey of inflation expectations did not factor in the spike in fuel prices; this factor will be included in the July survey. “As for temporary supply-side factors, it’s crucial to understand how the situation will develop and to what extent these one-off factors could transform into sustained price pressure, primarily through higher inflation expectations. Gasoline is clearly a marker commodity,” she noted. “Incidentally, this isn’t included in the June surveys; we’ll be looking at the July inflation forecasts, which will be released before the next meeting. It will be important to see how this impacts overall costs across a wide range of goods,” the head of the Central Bank added.
Kort sagt: økende bensinpriser vil føre til høyere inflasjon
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Fra 16 juni, tatneft satte grense på salg av bensin, 30l og diesel 60l. Raffineriene deres var truffet
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Foreløpig kun et rykte, men generalløytnant Sergei Kobylash, toppfigur innen det russiske flyvåpenet som skal ha falt ut av et vindu:
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Gårsdagens russiske tapstall:
476 kjøretøy
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At disse generalene ikke kan lære seg å holde seg unna åpne vinduer. Det burde snart bli pensum på stabsskolen.
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Fra nyhetsbrevet til Anne Applebaum:
Last September, I spent some time in Kyiv talking to people who were building and testing long-range drones. This week, we saw the result: Multiple attacks on a Moscow refinery, producing billowing clouds of black smoke and oil residue that could be seen and felt all over the city.
It’s not that often that I can point to an article I wrote nine months earlier as the explanation for something that is happening today. But this is one of those times. In September, a Ukrainian officer told me that Kyiv realized early in the war that the Russians don’t care about the deaths of their soldiers:
"Russia can sustain extremely high levels of casualties and losses in human lives. They don’t care about people’s lives.” However, “it is painful for them to lose money.” They need money to fund their oligarchy, as well as to bribe their soldiers to fight: “So naturally, we need to reduce the amount of money available for them.” Oil and oil products provide the majority of Russia’s state income. This is how the oil industry became the Ukrainians’ most important target."
The long-range drone industry also began at the beginning of the war.
After the Ukrainians received some American drones under the aegis of a program called Phoenix Ghost, their efforts became more serious. Made for different kinds of wars, the American drones were susceptible to Russian jamming, and the U.S. imposed restrictions on their use. One former soldier now involved in drone manufacturing told me that the Ukrainians weren’t necessarily prepared to use them either. He and some colleagues found boxes of drones in a warehouse along with some other U.S. equipment in the first year of the war, and figured out how to use them from videos they found on the internet. Only later did they receive real instruction.
Whatever their faults, these American donations did inspire the creation of long-range-drone units. Some are part of the military; others are connected to Ukrainian intelligence. As they grew to understand the technology, the commanders of these units, just like the teams deploying battlefield drones and sea drones, concluded that they needed their own drones, as well as their own drone research and development, with a constant feedback loop between the operators on the front lines and the industrial engineers. As the officer told me, “Everything interesting started a year ago, when the Armed Forces of Ukraine started to receive mass numbers of Ukrainian-made drones.” Once their own production lines were in place, they were not trapped by technology invented somewhere else, and they could continually update it to counter advances in Russian tactics and electronic-warfare technology: “What we had two years ago or a year ago,” the officer said, “it’s dramatically different from what we are operating right now.”
[min uthevning]
Artikkelen fra sept. i fjor som hun referer til i The Atlantic:
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En elektriker i Danmark fikk en idé om å bygge attrap-soldater med innebygd varmekilde som gjør at «soldaten» vises på varmekamera med 37 grader C.
Idéen nå realisert og i produksjon. UKR har kjøpt de første batchene. Tanken er å få russeren til å bruke opp verdifull ammo for å drepe det russeren tror er en ukrainsk soldat.
Tanken er å få russeren til å bruke opp verdifull ammo for å drepe det russeren tror er en ukrainsk soldat.
Kan også brukes til avledning i en kampsituasjon
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