Market cap 7,6 milliarder, så er jo litt priset inn.
Kun fint vært det doble, og fremdeles vært priset noenlunde likt Skandinaviske peers.
Den som er med på notert på Oslo børs leken må tåle priset på Oslo børs steken
Helt klart, og jeg har hevdet før ipo at ob er feil markedsplass. Svakt av styret, men en nonsjalant ledelse har ikke gjort det bedre hva angår aksjonærverdier, men de kommer når markedet tar innover seg at selskapet skal omsette for 2,5 milliarder ish om drøye to år.
Skandinaviske peers hvem for noen? Hvis ikke mer spesifikt enn software-as-service med globalt nedslagsfelt kan du jo titte på tallene til Meltwater… og slutte å sutre!!
Haha. Har tittet, men fortsetter å sutre
Pexip Holding ASA - Awarded Significant Contract Extension with The Defense Information Systems Agency in the United States
Noen nyheter her, eller bare et tilfeldig onsdagskrakk?
Oppdatering fra Pareto - «…below expectations…»
Ingen nytt annet enn ny TP på 80,-
Kan du linke til oppdateringen? Jeg fant ikke noe ved og google
40% av mcap borte siden 16.09. Kan ikke se at det har vært noen særdeles dårlige nyheter i mellomtiden, må vel sette meg litt inn i selskapet
Pareto er ute med ny analyse:
Expectations lowered on another quarterly miss
While Q3 ARR growth was higher than in the two previous quarters, Pexip still delivered its third consecutive quarter below expectations. We lower our ’22-24e growth expectation with ~6-12% and highlight that consensus seem too optimistic. However, we still believe Pexip could become a structural winner in a post-Covid world and that DARR growth will pick up in the coming quarters. In sum, we lower our TP to NOK 80 (100), reflecting lowered estimates and a general contraction in SaaS multiples. Buy rec. reiterated.
Q3 ARR growth 8% below consensus
Pexip reported Q3’21 ARR of USD 99.8m (up 37% y/y), which was below our expectation of USD 100.9m (cons. at USD 100.4m). On a quarterly basis, this corresponds to ARR growth (DARR) of USD 7.1m, which was 8/13% below cons/PAS expectations of USD 7.7/8.2m. Although below expectations, it was positive to see DARR increase in size from Q1/Q2 of USD 5.3/5.5m. All the growth now stems from new customers as NRR came in at 100% (incl. churn of 11%), the lowest reported NRR to date.
’22-23e ARR revised down 6-12% - Consensus seem optimistic
With Pexip coming in below consensus again, we acknowledge it is necessary to lower our expectations for the future. In sum, we revise down our ’22-24e ARR estimates with 6-12%, which puts our ‘24e ARR ~12% below Pexip’s USD 300m goal. Currently, its target implies a quarterly DARR of USD ~16m over the next 13 quarters, a large step-up from previous highs of 9-9.5m in 2020. With consensus estimates close to Pexip’s target (cons. excl. PAS is at USD >285m by 2024), we thus see increased risk of negative revisions. For instance, consensus currently has a Q4’21 DARR of >10.5m vs PAS est. of USD 8.0m, which we believe is overly optimistic at this point. However, the thesis that the relative demand for Pexip’s high-end solutions will accelerate in a post-Covid world stays firm, now backed by Pexip being moved up to a ‘challenger’ in the Gartner Magic Quadrant for Meeting Solutions (link). Coupled with its heavy investments in personnel, which are yet to fully materialize in sales growth, we still anticipate Pexip to report accelerated DARR growth going forward.
TP lowered to NOK 80 p.sh – Buy reiterated for now
Currently, Pexip trades at 5.8x 2022e sales. This is much below the median of international peers at ~14x, but slightly above other Norwegian listed B2B SaaS players at ~5x. With estimates revised down again, we lower our TP to NOK 80, equal to 7.5x ‘22e sales, arguing Pexip’s global reach & potential warrants a premium pricing to the median of Norwegian listed names. Buy recommendation reiterated.
Contact analyst(s)
Analyst(s):
Fridtjof Semb Fredricsson, +47 24 13 21 49, fridtjof.semb.fredricsson@paretosec.com
Kristoffer Hagevik, +47 22 87 88 05, kristoffer.hagevik@paretosec.com
Olav Rødevand, +47 22 87 87 30, olav.rodevand@paretosec.com
Noen som følger med på hvem som selger her?
Kjøres rett i dass den her…fy fan