Takk for deling av en god artikkel. Håper at noen i det norske forsvaret leser den også. En av de mer opplysende artiklene jeg har lest på emnet på lange tider.
Noe av det mest “skremmende” var egentlig det scenarioet som tegnes her - spesielt i andre avsnitt:
" What the Russians plan to do with all those tanks, as well as the hundreds of additional new T-90Ms they plan to build in the coming years, is an open question. The same drones that have destroyed thousands of Russian tanks are still prowling the air over the disputed gray zone in Ukraine. Deploying long columns of tanks in the current technological conditions would probably just result in the destruction of those tanks.
It’s likely Russian commanders are waiting for some new counterdrone tech to make tank assaults possible again. “Clearly they are thinking in the long run, predicting that eventually a solution to the current drone-saturated environment will be reached that allows them to bring back fast, mobile warfare via armored vehicles,” and preserving and rebuilding the mechanized corps in the meantime. " Jompy wrote."
Da er siste avsnitt en mager trøst:
"Then again, Russia now has tanks to spare. The only wrinkle is that there are no longer vast stocks of old tanks waiting to replace the tanks that burn in the Ukrainian gray zone or on some future battlefield.
In that sense, the Russian tank fleet at its current huge size is now a single-use force. Once it’s gone, it’s gone for good. “The loss of the vast Soviet legacy stockpiles means the capability to quickly regenerate after high attritional warfare won’t be there anymore for Russia,” Jompy wrote, “and they’ll have to change their approach to mechanized warfare.”"
