Diskusjon Triggere Porteføljer Aksjonærlister

Fedmebehandling som investering

Generelt så er nok dette meds som med fordel kan tas via sprøyter. Mengden virkestoff i oral wegovy vs. 2.4 mg injeksjonen er vel 73x. For samme vekttap. Det er vel ganske beskrivende for hvor dårlig magen egentlig fungerer som mottaker av virkestoff.

Off topic (men relatert): Ser ut til at Linus Paulings teorier om C-vitamin mot kreft er i ferd med å rehabiliteres. Det ble kjørt en del forsøk etter hans død, men de viste ingen sammenheng, og man så vel litt på den anerkjente Paulings ideer litt som en gammel manns tulleprosjekt. 50 år etterpå har man innsett at Pauling kjørte C-vitamin rett i blodet på pasientene sine, mens eksperimentene som ble gjort (av andre) for å teste hypotesen hans, baserte seg på tabletter (altså opptak gjennom magen)… Du kan vel gjette hvor dette skal… :cry: Jupp: Kroppen evner ikke å ta opp nødvendig mengde C-vitamin gjennom magen, men om man kjører shiten rett i blodet? Oh yeah.

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Stemmer, det var en dokumentar på TV2 eller NRK for noen år siden. Tror de kjørte et prosjekt på sykehuset Møre eller oppe der en plass.

Viste null effekt. Men jeg mener de fikk det i blodet, men mulig jeg husker feil. Kan ha vært alt mellom 5-15 år siden jeg så den :sweat_smile:

Antar det er denne jeg har lest:

“What neither trial’s critics nor defenders noticed at the time: Pauling and Cameron had started with vitamin C into a vein; the Mayo Clinic trials used tablets only. That matters because the gut can only absorb so much vitamin C. Once you reach a modest daily dose, the body simply stops taking in much more. Swallow as many tablets as you like, and the level of vitamin C in your blood levels off.”

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Vårt Lille Land på TV2 som hadde den dokumentaren .

Men da var det C-vitamin mot septisk sjokk, ikke kreft.

Men fortsatt spennende at de forfølger C-vitamin sporet i kreft

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2759414

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Skal hele verden på glp-1 nå ?:sweat_smile:

I så tilfelle tror jeg det er kvartalsvis dosering som er tingen

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Kanskje man burde det hvis man vil leve lengre

Semaglutide slows epigenetic aging in a randomized trial of HIV-associated lipohypertrophy

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-72861-3

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Det er jo veldig spennende at glp-1 muligens kan brukes veldig bredt.

Kanskje bruken av glp-1 kan beskrives som en megatrend?

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Selskapet Eli Lillys orforglipron har i studier vist både betydelig vektnedgang og evne til å holde vekten nede etter tidligere sprøytebehandling.

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Ja.

Det er som med p-piller. Det er et før og et etter.

Sammenligningen er bevisst. GLP-1s og andre fedmebehandlinger er allerede på full fart over i “mainstream”. Gi det 10 år og vi ser på dette som forbruksvarer snarere enn spesialisert medisinsk behandling.

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https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/glp-1-drugs-may-have-beneficial-effect-across-many-types-cancer-2026-06-03/

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Lilly’s triple agonist, retatrutide, drove substantial improvements in weight, A1C, knee osteoarthritis pain, and obstructive sleep apnea, demonstrating its remarkable potential to treat obesity and its complications

In TRIUMPH-1, participants on retatrutide 12 mg lost an average of 70.3 lbs (28.3%) over 80 weeks, with 65.3% achieving a BMI below 30, no longer meeting the BMI criteria for obesity

In addition to weight loss, retatrutide reduced knee osteoarthritis pain by up to 4.3 points (73.1%) and moderate-to-severe obstructive sleep apne aseverity by up to 36.1 events per hour (60.6%)

In TRANSCEND-T2D-1, participants on retatrutide achieved A1C reductions of up to 2.0% and weight loss of up to 36.6 lbs (16.8%) at 40 weeks, with up to 46% achieving a normal A1C

https://investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-triple-agonist-retatrutide-drove-substantial-improvements

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Zealand ned ~25% på det som ser ut som å være data fra survodutide som årsak, med høy drop-out/bivirkinger fra studien. Kan det også være her at det er for strenge krav i studen? Har du sett noe på dette @WernerVonHaussenberg

Eller virker det som inntrykket fra dette årets ada, er mer lent mot toleranse enn veldig høyt vekttap(mer enn tidligere år), noe som burde være positivt med tanke på data fra ZUPREME-1 og petrelintide som diskutert tidligere i tråden.

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Jeg tenkt litt på dette, ja. En av grunnene til at jeg har holdt meg unna å være long ZEAL frem til nå.

[mine egne uthevninger]

Kort forklart: Survodutide er for mye GLP-1, og for lite glukagon, som antatt.

Altimmunes 1:1 mellom GLP-1 og glukagon har myyyyyyyye bedre toleranse, bedre lean mass loss, og ca. samme vekttap. Var nesten ingen dropouts pga AEs i fase II’ene selskapet kjørte. Kandidaten deres – pemvidutide – virker å være da shit.

Bare utrolig synd at ALT-managementet fremstår som ganske begredelig.

Men kan være ALTs tilnærming nå får litt mer vind i seilene pga survodutide, og reta-data. Kanskje også om kinesiske mazdutide viser seg som en contender der borte.

Synes som vanlig av Novo (eller noen andre) burde kjenne sin besøkelsestid :innocent:

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AstraZeneca også ute med data fra elecoglipron

11.8% weight loss achieved at 36 weeks in adults with obesity or overweight in VISTA Phase IIb trial. HbA1c lowered by 1.9% at 26 weeks in adults with type 2 diabetes in SOLSTICE Phase IIb trial. Extensive Phase III programme for elecoglipron planned including outcome trials.

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1,9% i t2d er et jævla fint tall, bedre enn orforglipron [Foundayo]

Og vekttapet matcher Structures aleniglipron pretty much neck to neck

Raskt blikk på toleransedata plasserer elecoglipron sammen med orforglipron, kanskje litt verre. Mulig det kan fikses med saktere titrering inn, noe AstraZeneca også skriver at de vil gjøre i fase III’ene. For aleniglipron så ble jo AEs og discontinuations betydelig bedre ved å legge til et ekstra lavdose trappetrinn ved oppstart av behandlingen.

Så langt ser det ut til at Structure stikker at med toleranseprisen foran Lilly og AstraZeneca. Med ca. samme vekttap som AstraZeneca på 36 uker. Structure kjører for tiden en fase II i t2d (mener det var avlesning i høst engang?) Skal bli meget interessant å se hvordan tallene derfra blir.

Edit: Kan også bare i forbifarten bemerke av data fra Regor Therapeutics -glipron-kandidat lar vente på seg. Gitt at Regor er privateid og dermed ikke har noen meldeplikt + at resultatene fra fase 2b derfra var guida til q4 2025, så kan man jo begynne å lure på hva som skjer / har skjedd der.

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Rotet litt her, er ikke så tydelig som jeg husket det som

Orfo fikk faktisk 2,2% i Achieve-3, som leste av i vinter. Men den gikk over 52 uker . Treatment estimand-tallet er 1,9%

AstraZenecas elecoglipron-arm fikk altså 1,9%, med 0,2% i placebo på 26 uker.

Skal vi gjette på at de ender på ca. samme sted etter 52 uker?

Fellesnevner er at de begge da senker a1c mer enn oral sema

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Kopierer inn transcript fra GS sin konferanse i forrige (?) uke

Corinne Jenkins (Managing Director, Goldman Sachs) : Okay. Maybe pivoting a little bit. Pemvi’s also in development for alcohol use disorder and alcohol liver disease. Maybe talk to us about why those made sense in the context of this particular agent and its properties.

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : Corinne, that comes back to what we believe is the value of bringing both the direct-acting liver impact of the glucagon side of pemvidutide and the metabolic effects. I think if we think about both of those patient populations, the drinking is an issue. We know that it leads to implications on the liver over time. We are approaching it with the potential to be able to address both sides of that. The emergence of the understanding of the role that GLP can play on the craving mechanism and on the impact of the drinking, we think is only part of the equation, even for the AUD population. Although this is a continuum, there are ALD patients who are obviously also suffering from AUD.

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : There has been a perception that the AUD patients weren’t always suffering liver complications yet, and I think there’s an emergence of thinking and actions progress. You have to be thinking about the liver maybe even earlier than anticipated. While the phase II data is primarily the data set that we’ll read out next quarter in AUD, is primarily focused on the impact on drinking. We see the opportunity over time to really bring the benefit of both an impact on the liver and hopefully a positive impact on the level of drinking to the equation. We don’t look at this as only solving one part of the equation. We think because of Pemvi’s broad benefit on both sides, that it could be bringing different than some of the other options that might be approached there.

Corinne Jenkins (Managing Director, Goldman Sachs) : Okay. How should we think about the market opportunity in each of those indications and the unmet need in terms of patients that might be candidates for a therapeutic intervention?

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : The unmet need is high. We know that if you look at some of the data, there are large populations, 12 million or so with AUD. Might be half of that or so with ALD. No approved drugs in ALD. A few older options with AUD. We know a high level of unmet need. I think importantly, again, it’s going to be about defining what the therapeutic impact you can deliver. It is a market development need. You have to understand how to find the right segments of patients to be able to bring on board. Large unmet need. We think we can deliver, if the data supports it, something unique there. If that’s the case, then it’s going to be about understanding the right business case and how best to pursue.

Corinne Jenkins (Managing Director, Goldman Sachs) : Yeah

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : We’re encouraged by the level of the potential of the mechanism. The unmet need is high. It’s indications that we feel a company like Altimmune should be exploring.

Corinne Jenkins (Managing Director, Goldman Sachs) : To that point, what do you need to see from these phase programs?

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : We’ll see the AUD study. Obviously, we set up that study, as I mentioned, primarily around the impact on drinking, although we’ll capture the full liver enzymes, et cetera. We’ll look at weight. We want to see the impact on drinking. The decrease in the number of heavy drinking days is the primary endpoint of that study. We have some of the potential regulatory endpoints as a secondary impact on the WHO classification, for example. We’ll look at the totality of the data, see what we’re seeing, have a discussion with the FDA, make a determination what we think the potential is. Then come back and update on what the options and the plan will be. We have talked about if we’re in that positive scenario where we believe there’s value there.

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : Maybe, Greg, you want to mention how we think about the financial element on that, because of course, we have some milestones to get through in terms of understanding the data and the regulatory endpoint. Of course, we’re always thinking and working about the what-ifs along the way.

Greg Weaver (CFO, Altimmune) : Well, a phase III thinking as we go forward in these two new indications is important, and the framework of existing balance sheet and MASH imperatives as the foundation. Yeah, we are beginning to do the work. I think as we turn over the card in AUD, get the regulatory feedback, we’ll in parallel be looking at optionality on how we might position that phase III funding and take that forward. If the value is there, we’ll get it done. I think the likely preference is going to be non-dilutive. It could be a partner, could be strategic, could be regional, could be some other flavor, and not a default to new equity issuers. No, we’re excited about it.

Greg Weaver (CFO, Altimmune) : This is a very exciting time for the company between kicking off the MASH trial, the AUD reading out, ALD moving forward, and just all the detail work that’s going on to, on the financial side, create a little more precision around the forecasting, a little more certainty around what that use of cash and burn rate could look like going forward.

Corinne Jenkins (Managing Director, Goldman Sachs) : Great. Maybe just to clarify, I guess we’ll have the data next quarter.

Jerry Durso (President, CEO, and Chairman of the Board, Altimmune) : Yeah.

https://event.webcasts.com/starthere.jsp?ei=1764547&tp_key=9747262e35&tp_special=8

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Det tar Nettavisen 16 dager å holde følge med deg @theroger

Et realistisk scenario er at Eli Lilly søker godkjenning etter at fase 3-programmet er tilstrekkelig modent og at USA eventuelt kan komme først. Dersom dataene holder og myndighetene godkjenner legemiddelet kan USA kanskje få tilgang tidligst i 2027.

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