Dette framstår som høyt spill. Det er risikabelt å fornærme statsoverhoder fra nasjoner som du er fullstendig avhengig av fortsetter å vise sin velvilje og gavmildhet. Uansett hvor rett man har.
Hvis man tar noen steg tilbake, og tenker politisk ut fra tanken om at hele NATO må være enige, eller hele EU må være enige, om visse typer tiltak, så setter Ukraina her en slags standard hvor folk som tidligere har vært positive til Russland ikke er velkomne i det “gode selskap” ?
Rarere ting har skjedd enn at Le Pen vinner over Macron om ett par uker. Tja, hva da?
On NATO, Le Pen shares the view of her third-placed challenger, Mélenchon, that France would be better off without the treaty alliance, so that France would “be no longer caught up in conflicts that are not ours.”
A Le Pen presidency would likely see France become a spoiler when it comes to Europe’s largely unified response to the war in Ukraine. “She would probably go further than Viktor Orban and in fact block some of the decisions in Brussels that have to do with Ukraine,” Quencez said
Like Hungary’s newly reelected prime minister, Le Pen has been outspoken on European weapons transfers, saying that sending weapons into Ukraine risked turning France into a co-belligerent in the war (not necessarily a unique position seeing as that was Germany’s stance up until a few weeks ago).
By focusing so much of his campaign to date on foreign policy in a bid to demonize Le Pen’s links with Putin, Macron may himself be showing some naiveté, and keeping opportunities open for the right-wing leader. “I’m personally a bit concerned by the fact that the Macron campaign is so focused on foreign policy right now,” GMF’s Quencez said. “They thought the connection between Le Pen and Putin would be enough to make him the only credible candidate. But look at the polls, the priority for French voters is inflation, it’s rising prices.”
Får håpe for Ukraina sin skyld at ikke Le Pen vinner. Sjansen er godt under 50%, men den er ikke 0% tror jeg.
